Fiction vs. Fact in Tales of Foreign Direct Investment
Foreign direct investment has often created dismay and resistance in the investee nation. Self-appointed pundits may try to gain populist following by decrying the sale of local assets to foreign buyers with no regard to the historic contribution foreign ownership has made to the growth of their own economies.
Governmental regulation of foreign direct investment is implemented in part to allay these emotions by screening out those investments judged harmful according to legislated standards. It therefore is counterintuitive when the exercise of regulatory power to screen foreign direct investment also inspires equally ill-tempered reactions. Often, the sound and fury of those reactions do not withstand factual analysis, especially when journalists seek to stir the pot of public emotions.
Take, for example, “US inquiry into sale of Virgin Galactic stake to Arab investor” which appeared in the online version of The Times of London earlier this week, written by Abu Dhabi based-reporter David Robertson. The Rocketeers and ParabolicArc blogs posted the same story. The story questions why the U.S. has elected to subject the proposed sale of a 32% stake in Sir Richard Branson’s privately-held space travel venture to Abu Dhabi-based Aabar Investments for $280 million to “a national security investigation” and whether the investigation genuinely serves the legitimate interests of the United States.
Virgin Galactic and Aabar Investments had originally announced their deal in July 2009. The deal includes not only the equity investment but also Aabar’s commitment to fund a small satellite launch capability.
Timesonline does not point out that the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), has reviewed over 300 transactions during the three years ended December 31, 2008 or that filings with CFIUS that seek its review are optional. However, CFIUS may initiate its own review of inbound transactions and, if it finds that a transaction may adversely affect U.S. national security, it can take remedial steps, including rescission. As a result, a prudent inbound investor and its investee will seek CFIUS review to insure that the transaction is permanently settled. Review is the first level of the regulatory process. Investigation is the second level. If review of a filing finds that the transaction could result in control of a U.S. business by an entity that is controlled by a foreign government, then FINSA and its regulations require an investigation unless CFIUS otherwise determines. Given this legal framework, CFIUS could have had sound reasons for subjecting Virgin’s deal to the second level of investigation. The fact that there is an investigation does not, however, suggest that the outcome will be adverse to Aabar.
The Timesonline report suggests that investors in the Arab Middle East will become concerned that their investments in the U.S. are subject to CFIUS review. According to the public version of the CFIUS annual report released last month, during 2006, 2007 and 2008, 11 transactions involving UAE investors or acquirers were filed for CFIUS review. During the same period, 14 transactions from Bahrain, Kuwait, Lebanon, Qatar and Saudi Arabia were filed. Deals originating in Saudi Arabia alone comprised 7% of the total value of completed transactions. Without regard to this body of facts, the writer drags up the divestiture outcome that followed Dubai World’s acquisition of P&O, a deal that CFIUS found did not impair national security and that did close.
It certainly is legitimate to argue that the statute that CFIUS enforces has an incorrect premise with regard to government-controlled entities. It also is legitimate to argue that the term “national security” is not sufficient well-defined and gives CFIUS too much discretion and the overwhelmingly powerful argument is that Sir Richard Branson is not very likely to have transferred control of Virgin Galactic, despite the size of Aabar’s investment. But, in a government where the legislative branch makes the laws and the executive branch is charged with carrying out those laws, CFIUS is performing as it must. Moreover, CFIUS has taken steps to make the public aware of its views by publishing guidance regarding the types of transactions that it has reviewed and that have presented national security implications.
There is an additional fact that would have put much of this faux fury into perspective. Aabar now owns 4% of U.S.-based Tesla Motors, the electric car company that is a contender to lead the United States into the age of the electric car. In July 2009, Aabar acquired its investment stake in Tesla from Daimler. Because of the confidentiality of the proceedings of CFIUS, there is no way to know whether CFIUS reviewed the transactions that led to Aabar’s stockholding in Tesla. At a minimum, Aabar and its controlling family are not strangers to CFIUS. They have been welcomed into the U.S. in the past and no doubt they will be welcomed here again.
The New York Times coverage of the Virgin Galactic deal, published today, is infinitely more balanced and informative. Reporter Eric Lipton went into the subtleties and difficulties that underlie regulatory judgments regarding FDI. Factual reportage supports constructive public debate that can lead to public policies that enable FDI to produce its best results.
